Can Novo Nordisk’s Semaglutide Treat Metabolic Liver Disease MASH?

November 5, 2024

Novo Nordisk recently announced its intention to seek regulatory approval for the use of semaglutide, the active ingredient in its profitable weight loss drug, for the treatment of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH). This decision came after a Phase 3 clinical trial yielded promising results, positioning semaglutide as a potential groundbreaking therapy for MASH, a highly prevalent liver disease that has long eluded effective treatment. The trial demonstrated that semaglutide successfully met its primary goals. A significant 37% of participants receiving semaglutide alongside standard therapy showed improvements in liver scarring without the condition worsening, compared to 22.5% in the placebo group. Furthermore, 63% of those on semaglutide saw a resolution of MASH without deteriorating liver scarring, in stark contrast to the 34% observed in the placebo group.

Promising Clinical Trial Results

The safety and tolerability of semaglutide have been emphasized by Novo Nordisk, consistent with previous trials of the drug. While detailed results and secondary outcomes of the trial have yet to be disclosed, they are slated for presentation at a medical meeting in 2024. The continuation of the trial’s second phase aims to assess semaglutide’s long-term effectiveness in preventing cirrhosis, a serious and common complication of MASH. Should semaglutide win regulatory approval, it would become the first drug specifically approved for MASH, potentially offering a new lease on life to millions affected by this condition and reducing the incidence of liver transplants. Novo Nordisk plans to seek approval in the U.S. and Europe by mid-2025, underscoring their commitment to addressing this significant unmet medical need.

Martin Holst Lange, Novo Nordisk’s head of development, highlighted the profound health impact of MASH on individuals with obesity or overweight, noting that one-third of this population is affected by the disease. MASH is characterized by excessive fat accumulation in the liver and is often associated with metabolic disorders such as diabetes. Despite being a primary target for the pharmaceutical industry, effective treatments have been hard to come by, with many drugs faltering in clinical testing. Notably, Intercept Pharmaceuticals’ attempt was rejected by U.S. regulators in 2023, underscoring the challenges in finding a viable therapy for MASH.

The Competitive Landscape

Novo Nordisk’s semaglutide enters a competitive field amid impressive developments in MASH treatment. Madrigal Pharmaceuticals’ Resmetirom, approved in March, has had a successful initial launch, setting a high bar in MASH treatment. Akero Therapeutics and 89bio have also shown promise, albeit their results are less conclusive. Novo Nordisk’s GLP-1 drug, semaglutide, targets gut hormones and shows potential benefits for weight loss, heart health, and MASH treatment.

Despite these advancements, some Wall Street analysts remain uncertain about semaglutide’s dominance in the MASH market. They argue that Novo Nordisk’s Phase 3 trial does not sufficiently distinguish semaglutide from its competitors. Analysts like Thomas Smith from Leerink Partners and Brian Abrahams from RBC Capital Markets note that semaglutide’s effectiveness in improving liver fibrosis is similar to Resmetirom. They suggest that drugs from 89bio and Akero also show comparable effects, hinting at a polypharmacy approach rather than a single solution.

Following Novo’s trial results, shares in Madrigal, 89bio, and Akero rose, reflecting investor optimism. Although semaglutide may be promising, it will likely be part of a diverse array of treatments for MASH. This evolving landscape highlights the necessity for continuous innovation and collaboration among pharmaceutical companies to find effective solutions for patients worldwide.

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